The AI Transformation.

Catalysing Indonesia’s
next stage in growth.

Foreword.

Indonesia is entering a critical phase of digital transformation. This is reflected in the increasing use of the Internet, the widespread adoption of digital technologies, the growth of digital-based start-ups, and the penetration of technology into various sectors of society. In this context, Artificial Intelligence (AI) stands out as a strategic driver of change across social, economic, and institutional dimensions.

AI offers potential for Indonesia. It can boost productivity, expand access to public services, support data-driven decision-making, and open up entirely new economic opportunities. However, realizing this potential requires swift and well-directed policy action.

This report, commissioned by Google and developed by Public First with input from the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF), aims to contribute meaningful insights. It seeks to deepen public understanding, identify key challenges, and offer relevant policy recommendations for advancing AI development in Indonesia. The report aligns with Indonesia’s long-term vision as outlined in the RPJPN 2025–2045, which sets a goal for Indonesia to become a developed country by 2045. To achieve this, the country must maintain average economic growth of 6–7 percent over the next two decades. The government has even targeted growth of up to 8 percent by 2029. This is a tall order, especially considering that economic growth has hovered around 5 percent for more than ten years. A significant increase in Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is essential. Indonesia’s TFP remains below that of peer countries, and AI can serve as a key enabler to accelerate TFP by optimizing processes and improving efficiency across sectors.

Despite its promise, AI development in Indonesia faces three major challenges. First, the digital divide remains significant. Although Internet access is relatively widespread, there are still large gaps between urban and rural areas and between income groups. Concentrating AI development in major cities risks widening these gaps. Without an inclusive approach, digital transformation could worsen existing social and economic disparities.

Second, the lack of adaptive regulation and fragmented institutional oversight presents another challenge. AI is evolving rapidly, but regulatory frameworks have yet to catch up. While legally binding horizontal AI regulation is absent in Indonesia, the government has published AI ethics guidelines as an important initial step towards ethical and responsible development and deployment of AI technologies. In addition, AI presents unique issues in regulated industries and sectors, and to ensure coordinated and coherent sectoral policies, it is important for the government to establish a lead authority or hub of AI expertise that can support and provide strategic direction to sectoral regulators, who are best positioned to understand the specific interactions between AI and existing regulatory frameworks.

Third, limited investment in research and development: Indonesia has yet to emerge as a key player in core AI technologies, and few local start-ups have secured funding. Most AI-related R&D investment remains concentrated overseas. This calls for dedicated financing mechanisms to support domestic AI innovation and research.

To address these issues and unlock AI’s full potential, INDEF recommends three policy priorities. First, build a robust national data infrastructure. AI needs quality, structured, and accessible data. Developing a national Open Data Platform that can be used by businesses, researchers, and developers—while safeguarding privacy and security—must be a top priority. The government should ensure data interoperability across ministries and agencies, and establish clear rules for data governance, personal data protection, public data access, and incentives for cross-sector data sharing.

Second, invest in human capital for AI. Government agencies must align education and training outputs with industry needs. AI-related curriculum should be integrated from secondary schools to universities, and supported by vocational programs and workforce upskilling initiatives. Triple helix collaboration—between government, universities, and industry—should be expanded through AI research centers, start-up incubators, internships, and other joint initiatives.

Third, prioritize AI adoption in the public sector and among Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). The government must lead by example by applying AI to improve public service delivery—from logistics forecasting to citizen services provided through digital assistants. At the same time, MSMEs should be supported through technical assistance and financial incentives to adopt AI. Partnerships with local AI start-ups should also be encouraged to accelerate innovation and deployment.

INDEF sees AI development not only as a matter of technology, but as a strategic effort to build a more inclusive and competitive future for Indonesia. We support this report as it promotes a comprehensive and socially-conscious approach. As the report rightly points out, Indonesia needs a long-term vision and strong commitment to ensure that the benefits of AI are widely shared.

We hope this report contributes meaningfully to the national conversation on AI policy—one that balances economic growth, social equity, and sustainability. We thank Google for their collaboration with INDEF in developing this report and hope it serves as a valuable reference for policymakers in shaping the next steps for AI development in Indonesia.

Esther Sri Astuti, Ph.D
Executive Director INDEF

About INDEF.

The Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF) is an independent and autonomous research institute founded in August 1995 in Jakarta. INDEF focuses on conducting research and policy analysis, particularly in the areas of economics and finance. Its work aims to stimulate policy debates, enhance public engagement, and raise awareness of the policymaking process in Indonesia. INDEF also plays an active role in offering solutions to Indonesia’s economic and social challenges.

Executive Summary.

The AI Opportunity.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) can help Indonesia accelerate its economic development. With a young, tech-savvy population already enthusiastically adopting AI, Indonesia is positioned to rapidly upskill, digitally transform organisations, and advance up the value chain with AI.

Indonesia is a global leader in AI tech adoption.

Indonesia is ahead of the pack when it comes to AI tool adoption, with the world’s second highest number of AI tool users after India.

AI technologies represent a major opportunity for Indonesian economic development.

AI’s potential to accelerate economic development could more than double the overall growth opportunity for Indonesia.

Optimising Indonesia’s major economic engines.

The top five sectors with the highest AI potential are retail and wholesale, manufacturing, finance and insurance, mining and quarrying and information and communications technologies.

Developing AI Responsibly.

While the AI opportunity is immense for Indonesia, the challenges that come with it must be addressed in order to boost the country’s adoption of AI tools. In order to offset such challenges and maintain trust in AI, we will need to do more to help people adapt to new career paths, ensure adoption is widely shared, and protect against new potential security risks.

0 %
Supporting workers with evolving careers.

While the majority of Indonesian workers are insulated from AI substitution, less than 5% of workers who are at risk will likely need help with career transition.

0 %
Responding to cybersecurity risks.

While AI could create new risks, it can also be a powerful cybersecurity ally, potentially preventing over half of threat and fraud costs by 2035 through proactive prevention and faster responses.

Bridge adoption gaps.

We found a clear adoption gap between different ages, education levels, and urban-rural areas – and this is likely to grow further without more support.

Maximising the Opportunity.

Indonesia stands out with one of the highest long-term potentials for AI in the region. But in order to take full advantage of this opportunity, Indonesia must tackle the potential challenges the new technology creates; it will need to do more to overcome the digital divide, build basic digital literacy as well as advanced IT skills, and continue to build out connectivity and infrastructure to close any remaining gaps.

An optimistic population.

Indonesia has the second highest levels of optimism across the whole Asia-Pacific region: 62% of Indonesians we surveyed told us that they were optimistic about the impact of AI on them personally, compared to just 13% who were pessimistic.

0 %
High levels of interest in AI skills training.

90% of workers told us they would be interested in additional training to help them use AI at their job.

Investing in key infrastructure.

Supporting the increased computing demands of AI requires significant investment in connectivity and supporting infrastructure. Over the last decade, the computing power needed to train AI models has increased dramatically by 4 times year-on-year, while costs have more than doubled.

Transforming Indonesia’s Public Sector.

The digital transformation enabled by AI could be just as significant in the public as in the private sector. For countries such as Indonesia managing fiscal constraints, adopting AI is key to unlocking enhanced government efficiency, transparency, and responsiveness, delivering greater value with available resources.

Generating efficiency gains for the public sector.

Over the next five years, government agencies and state-owned enterprises in Indonesia could benefit from Rp 26 trillion (US$1.6 billion) in efficiency gains and cost savings through their adoption of enterprise-grade AI platforms and tools.

Saving thousands of lives through earlier detection of health problems.

AI can make it easier to treat emerging health problems earlier, which in Indonesia we estimate could help save 28,000 lives from earlier detection of chronic conditions.

Expanding access to high quality education.

AI tutors integrated into edtech platforms could enable 30 million people in Indonesia who do not currently have access to an adequate education to boost their skills.